World meat production expected to drop for the first time in 20 years
World meat production expected to decline in 2019 largely due to an anticipated 20% contraction of pork production in China. Trade still forecasted to increase.
Decline for the first time
World meat production is expected to decline in 2019 for the first time in more than two decades, as the African Swine Fever outbreak in China decimates pig herds, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Production of bovine, ovine, poultry and pig meats is forecast to total 335 million tonnes in carcass weight equivalent, 1.0 percent lower than the previous year, according to the Food Outlook. Pigmeat typically accounts for more than a third of worldwide meat output, poultry for 39 percent and bovine meat for 21 percent.
The drop in meat production is driven by an anticipated contraction of at least 20 percent for pigmeat output in China, which usually accounts for close to half the world’s production.
Global trade in meat products is forecast to grow by 6.7 percent this year, compared to a slowing trend observed for many food commodities.